Hot, Dry Weather on the Way — Cities & Wildfire Risk

CoreLogic did an analysis of wildfire threats in the U.S.

The five cities that are most threatened by wildfire in the summer of 2024 are in the PIA Western Alliance state of California. Of the top 15 most threatened cities, 10 are in PIA Western Alliance state of California and one is in the PIA Western Alliance state of Oregon.

CoreLogic noted that while the number of wildfires per year is dropping, the intensity — and damages from those fires — is not. Tom Jeffery Ph.D. wrote the report for CoreLogic. He said in the last 30 years, the size of wildfires has tripled.

“While the number of fires per year is in decline, the increasing size and intensity of those fires is creating more property damage than ever before,” he wrote in the report.

From January to April of 2024, a staggering 1.75 million acres have burned in the U.S. Most of that is due to the wildfire in Texas that burned over 1 million acres. As with most wildfires, experts are saying it was caused by a power pole’s failure.

Jeffery’s report says most of the high-risk areas are in states with large housing shortages. So, the fix is usually to build in the wildland-urban interface. If that’s what these cities are forced to do, then more thoughtful planning needs to be done to prevent wildfires.

However, that won’t likely be enough to prevent more serious fires in the future.

“Even when the division between high-risk areas and development is clearly defined, embers blown from burning vegetation onto and into homes can stretch a fire’s threat farther into the urban zone,” Jeffery’s report notes. “Embers are responsible for an estimated 90 percent of home ignitions caused by wildfire. There have been instances of embers igniting residences up to a half mile or more from an actual fire.”

Here are the top-5 at risk cities in the U.S. All five are in the PIA Western Alliance state of California:

1. Los Angeles, California

Properties at risk: 185,763

Value of the at-risk properties: $143.3 billion

2. Riverside, California

Properties at risk: 166,375

Value of the at-risk properties: $86.6 billion

3. San Diego, California

Properties at risk: 123,060

Value of the at-risk properties: $75.6 billion

4. Sacramento, California

Properties at risk: 91,475

Value of the at-risk properties: $53.2 billion

5. San Francisco, California

Properties at risk: 56,985

Value of the at-risk properties: $40.2 billion

Other cities at risk in The PIA Western Alliance states:

6. Oxnard, California

Properties at risk: 39,918

Value of the at-risk properties: $27.4 billion

9. Truckee, California

Properties at risk: 43,674

Value of the at-risk properties: $20.9 billion

11, Santa Rosa, California

Properties at risk: 23,920

Value of the at-risk properties: $15.8 billion

12. Salinas, California

Properties at risk: 18,380

Value of the at-risk properties: $13 billion

13. Redding, California

Properties at risk: 28,271

Value of the at-risk properties: $11.4 billion

14. Bend, Oregon

Properties at risk: 24,755

Value of the at-risk properties: $10.2 billion

Source link: Carrier Management — https://bit.ly/3Vj8rcA

About PIA Western Alliance

The Professional Insurance Agents Western Alliance is a membership organization promoting and enhancing the success of independent agencies seeking to grow, learn and be heard within the industry.


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