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2025 Wildfire Forecast

Published April 29, 2025 at 1:30 PM · News Releases and Bulletins

AccuWeather is forecasting that somewhere between 7 million and 9 million acres will burn around the country by the end of this year. The historical average — says the National Centers for Environmental Information — is 7.5 million acres.

Half of the country is seeing abnormally dry conditions, or drought and 9% are in extreme drought.

On the West Coast we’ll see cooler water temperatures that will produce an increase in storms. Some of that is good news as AccuWeather says the winter moisture that’s hanging around will limit wildfire activity along the coast and into the Rockies.

But later in the year increased vegetation could increase fire potential. So look for more wildfires in the Northwest, the northern Rockies, in the Southwest and the South Central states.

AccuWeather is also forecasting dangerous fire conditions east of the Cascades and into the northern Rockies. Lightning from dry thunderstorms could cause lots of fires in those areas.

More thunderstorms in the PIA Western Alliance states of California, Arizona and New Mexico could end up being disastrous. By the fall, AccuWeather is predicting a very high risk of fires this fall in Central and Northern California and huge swaths of central and eastern Oregon and Western Idaho.

Source link: Insurance Journal — https://bit.ly/3Guu9FD